{"id":4303,"date":"2025-11-13T09:16:01","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T09:16:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/13\/tariffs-could-be-coming-for-your-christmas-tree\/"},"modified":"2025-11-13T09:16:01","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T09:16:01","slug":"tariffs-could-be-coming-for-your-christmas-tree","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/13\/tariffs-could-be-coming-for-your-christmas-tree\/","title":{"rendered":"Tariffs could be coming for your Christmas tree"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"anchor-5dba86\" class=\"body-graf\">Forget the Grinch \u2014 this year, it\u2019s tariffs that could try to steal the Christmas tree. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-427aaf\" class=\"body-graf\">Artificial Christmas trees will cost an estimated 10% to 20% more this season than they did last year because of increased tariff costs, according to several major U.S. importers. And the cost of lights could jump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.christmastreeassociation.org\/resource-hub\/2025-frequently-asked-questions\" target=\"_blank\">as much as 63%<\/a> for the same reason.<\/p>\n<div id=\"taboolaReadMoreBelow\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"anchor-10c1c1\" class=\"body-graf\">Mass market Christmas decor has not been manufactured in the United States for decades. If vendors were to try to make it domestically, the mere cost of moving the manufacturing operations would be prohibitive \u2014 let alone actually producing the trees. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-c547de\" class=\"body-graf\">Mac Harman, the founder and CEO of artificial tree vendor Balsam Hill, estimates that if he were to manufacture Christmas trees in the U.S., the price of an $800 tree would skyrocket to around $3,000.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-8a6e6a\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cWhen we make Christmas trees, some of the equipment is the size of a U.S. football field,\u201d he told NBC News in an interview. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-bbd3cf\" class=\"body-graf\">&#8220;There\u2019s a ton of capital that\u2019s invested in these factories, and the equipment\u2019s so big you can\u2019t even pick it up and put it on a container [ship] and transport it,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-c13105\" class=\"body-graf\">Moreover, the most popular artificial option, prelit trees, are a very labor intensive project, Harman said. The lights are often strung by hand, a job that American factories have neither the manpower nor the budgets to undertake.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-1d9d7c\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cThere are over 20,000 people in China that manufacture Christmas trees. Many of those people are the ones that are experts in stringing the lights, and they\u2019ve done it for a long time. They\u2019re very fast at it. They\u2019re good at it,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-3e1ca1\" class=\"body-graf\">Harman described how the U.S. export Christmas decor business first took off in Thailand<strong> <\/strong>in the 1990s, before moving to China over time. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-64e399\" class=\"body-graf\">Now, he estimates, around 90% of mass market Christmas decor products are made in China. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"styles_inlineImage__FvnTh styles_medium__MEKii\" id=\"anchor-ef4638\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com\/image\/upload\/t_fit-760w,f_auto,q_auto:best\/rockcms\/2025-11\/251112-xmas-trees-rs-a79cf1.jpg\" alt=\"Decorations for New Year's and Christmas holidays on display in a department store\" height=\"1667\" width=\"2500\"><figcaption class=\"caption styles_caption__TCewG\" data-testid=\"caption\"><span class=\"caption__container\" data-testid=\"caption__container\">The overall supply of artificial trees will take a hit this year, after vendors opted to import fewer trees to offset the higher tariff costs.<\/span><span class=\"caption__source\" data-testid=\"caption__source\">Kosamtu \/ Getty Images file<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p id=\"anchor-1f4610\" class=\"body-graf\">But that could be changing. Following Trump&#8217;s election last November, Harman tried to diversify Balsam Hill\u2019s supply chain because he anticipated the president would follow through with China tariffs after he had spent months campaigning on them.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-bc0eca\" class=\"body-graf\">As a result of those diversification efforts, Harman said, during this Christmas season, around a third of Balsam Hill&#8217;s trees will come from outside of China. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-c59f1a\" class=\"body-graf\">Balsam Hill also tried to blunt tariff-related price pressures this year by importing the bulk of its inventory ahead of Trump&#8217;s &#8220;Liberation Day&#8221; tariff announcement in April. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-200378\" class=\"body-graf\">But the administration&#8217;s constant back-and-forth since then on China tariff rates \u2014 from a low of 30% at one point all the way up to 145% \u2014 proved too unpredictable for Harman to effectively execute the pricing plan he had initially wanted to.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-abde29\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cUnfortunately, most of these trees [this year] have come into the industry at 20% or 30% tariffs. So those costs do add up,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-7f7531\" class=\"body-graf\">The overall supply of artificial trees will also take a hit this year, he said, after vendors opted to import fewer trees to offset the higher tariff costs. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-d03003\" class=\"body-graf\">Harman said he expects the industry to stock 15% fewer artificial trees this season, potentially leading to fewer options for those who tree shop later in the season.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-f892ef\" class=\"body-graf\">Balsam Hill is not alone in paring back its Christmas decor imports during this year of outsized tariff impacts.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-056ed8\" class=\"body-graf\">Costco CEO Ron Vachris said on the <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/COST.MX\/earnings\/COST.MX-Q4-2025-earnings_call-351767.html\" target=\"_blank\">company\u2019s September quarterly earnings call <\/a>that the big-box discounter had \u201creally thinned down that whole category&#8221; of discretionary Christmas items such as toys and decor this year. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-82e8cf\" class=\"body-graf\">Yet, in spite of the broader tariff pressures and stubbornly low consumer sentiment, the <a href=\"https:\/\/nrf.com\/media-center\/press-releases\/nrf-expects-holiday-sales-to-surpass-1-trillion-for-the-first-time-in-2025\" target=\"_blank\">National Retail Federation forecasts <\/a>that U.S. holiday spending will surpass $1 trillion this year for the first time. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-0a7fc7\" class=\"body-graf\">According to a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/nrf.com\/media-center\/press-releases\/consumers-to-spend-second-highest-amount-on-record-according-to-nrf-holiday-survey\" target=\"_blank\">National Retail Federation survey,<\/a><strong> <\/strong>the average consumer plans to spend around $270 on non-gift holiday items like decor and cards this season.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-f36aa6\" class=\"body-graf\">One place that tariffs don&#8217;t seem poised to bite American consumers this Christmas is in the live tree category. <strong> <\/strong>The vast majority of live trees that are sold stateside are grown in the U.S. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-93754a\" class=\"body-graf\">But even those grown in Canada will be tariff-free this year under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal. This comes even as the Trump administration enacts a 45% duty on Canadian lumber entering the U.S.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-4a9a07\" class=\"body-graf\">According to the Real Christmas Tree Board, a live tree industry group, 84% of the wholesale Christmas <a href=\"https:\/\/realchristmastreeboard.com\/press-releases\/fourth-annual-survey-of-real-christmas-tree-growers\/\" target=\"_blank\">tree growers it surveyed recently<\/a><strong> <\/strong>said they do not plan to increase prices this year. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-9f0819\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cWe\u2019re one of those few products where we can say, &#8216;Hey, we don\u2019t have to worry about that,&#8217;\u201d Marsha Gray, the board\u2019s executive director, told NBC News.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-0e507a\" class=\"body-graf\">And given that live Christmas trees take about 10 years to grow to market size, current economic factors like tariffs are not poised to impact supply in the next few years. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-7061ec\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cWe\u2019re at a point right now where we just have a really, really strong inventory, the strongest inventory I\u2019ve seen in over a decade,\u201d Gray said.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-636335\" class=\"body-graf\">No matter what type of Christmas tree people choose, the National Retail Federation says that while consumers may be slightly more cautious this year about shopping, they\u2019re also more prepared.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-6c5bb0\" class=\"endmark body-graf\">\u201cSomehow, every year, Santa Claus always comes, and I think that really captures the way the holiday season goes,\u201d federation President and CEO Matthew Shay wrote in the group&#8217;s holiday forecast. \u201cPeople save for it, they plan for it, they prioritize it.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forget the Grinch \u2014 this year, it\u2019s tariffs that could try to steal the Christmas tree. Artificial Christmas trees will cost an estimated 10% to 20% more this season than they did last year because of increased tariff costs, according to several major U.S. importers. And the cost of lights could jump as much as <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":4304,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-4303","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4303"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4303\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4304"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marketsfortress.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}